Tag Archives: Certainty Bias

Fixed or Variable? It’s Actually Both!

Should my team structure be fixed or variable? Should my funding be fixed or variable? Should the plan reflect fixed expectations or variable possibilities? The reality is, it’s neither one of those isolated notions, but rather both of them enabling organization’s performance in concert with each other. On the one hand, enterprise reality contains inherent… Read More »

Addressing the “Certainty Bias”: Core Principles to the Rescue

  Certainty bias? Indeed. Certainty bias is the term we use in reference to organizations’ tendency to demonstrate overconfidence in desirable outcomes while in fact operating in an environment of uncertainty. A lot of organizations are exposed to this phenomenon. Yours too, most certainty… no pun intended. The problem has some typical symptoms: Assumptions are… Read More »

Lean Portfolio Management Conversation

Recently I had a great conversation with Marshall Guillory (http://blogagility.com) on Lean Portfolio Management. We talked about quite a few topics: the general idea of Lean-Agile Portfolio, common systemic impediments in implementing it, the connection to strategy and structure, organizational learning and more. You can find the video on Marshall’s blog (click on the picture… Read More »

The Key Predictor of Agile Mindset

  Who doesn’t talk about Agile these days? Who doesn’t mention that “Agile is mindset” lately? And why not, it’s a powerful statement. As it turns out, however, organizations are generally better with statements than with the actual action behind them. Multiple surveys consistently demonstrate that despite all advancements in new practices, the mindset and… Read More »